Implementasi Algoritma Machine Learning untuk Prediksi Curah Hujan di Indonesia
Downloads
Curah hujan merupakan salah satu parameter penting dalam bidang meteorologi, pertanian, mitigasi bencana, dan pengelolaan sumber daya air. Ketidakpastian pola cuaca akibat perubahan iklim global menyebabkan kebutuhan terhadap sistem prediksi curah hujan yang lebih akurat semakin meningkat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengimplementasikan algoritma machine learning dalam memprediksi curah hujan berdasarkan data meteorologi. Metode penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan pemanfaatan algoritma Random Forest, Decision Tree, dan Support Vector Machine (SVM). Data penelitian diperoleh dari data historis cuaca yang meliputi suhu udara, kelembapan, tekanan udara, kecepatan angin, dan intensitas penyinaran matahari. Tahapan penelitian meliputi preprocessing data, pelatihan model, pengujian model, dan evaluasi menggunakan metrik akurasi, precision, recall, dan RMSE. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa algoritma Random Forest memiliki performa terbaik dibandingkan algoritma lainnya dengan tingkat akurasi sebesar 92,4%. Implementasi machine learning terbukti mampu meningkatkan efektivitas prediksi curah hujan dan dapat digunakan sebagai pendukung pengambilan keputusan pada sektor pertanian, mitigasi banjir, dan pengelolaan lingkungan. Penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi dalam pengembangan sistem prediksi cuaca berbasis kecerdasan buatan di Indonesia.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning. Springer.
Breiman, L. (2001). Random forests. Machine Learning, 45(1), 5–32.
Cai, J., Luo, J., Wang, S., & Yang, S. (2018). Feature selection in machine learning: A new perspective. Neurocomputing, 300, 70–79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2017.11.077
Chollet, F. (2018). Deep Learning with Python. Manning Publications.
Dong, S., Wang, P., & Abbas, K. (2021). A survey on deep learning and its applications. Computer Science Review, 40, 100379. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosrev.2021.100379
Fernández, A., García, S., Galar, M., Prati, R. C., Krawczyk, B., & Herrera, F. (2013). Analysing the classification of imbalanced data-sets with multiple classes: Binarization techniques and ad-hoc approaches. Knowledge-Based Systems, 42, 97–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2013.01.018
Geofisika, B. M. K. dan. (2025). Data Curah Hujan Indonesia Tahun 2020–2025. BMKG.
Géron, A. (2022). Hands-On Machine Learning with Scikit-Learn, Keras, and TensorFlow (3rd ed.). O’Reilly Media.
Goodfellow, I., Bengio, Y., & Courville, A. (2016). Deep Learning. MIT Press.
Han, J., Kamber, M., & Pei, J. (2012). Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques (3rd ed.). Elsevier.
Jain, A. K., Mao, J., & Mohiuddin, K. M. (1996). Artificial Neural Networks: A Tutorial. Computer, 29(3), 31–44. https://doi.org/10.1109/2.485891
Kotu, V., & Deshpande, B. (2015). Predictive Analytics and Data Mining. Morgan Kaufmann.
Larose, D. T. (2014). Discovering Knowledge in Data: An Introduction to Data Mining (2nd ed.). Wiley.
Nasir, I. M., Khan, M. A., Yasir, M., Shah, J. H., Sharif, M., & Riaz, N. (2020). Pearson correlation-based feature selection for document classification using balanced training. Sensors, 20(23), 6793. https://doi.org/10.3390/s20236793
Prasetyo, E. (2014). Data Mining Konsep dan Aplikasi Menggunakan MATLAB. Andi.
Russell, S., & Norvig, P. (2021). Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach (4th ed.). Pearson.
Suyanto. (2018). Machine Learning Tingkat Dasar dan Lanjut. Informatika.
Vapnik, V. (1998). Statistical Learning Theory. Wiley.
Witten, I. H., Frank, E., & Hall, M. A. (2016). Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques. Morgan Kaufmann.
Zhang, C., & Ma, Y. (2012). Ensemble Machine Learning: Methods and Applications. Information Fusion, 14(2), 105–107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inffus.2012.01.001
Copyright (c) 2026 Anwarudin Anwarudin

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC-BY-SA). that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.






